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Congress fall – Now an imminent phenomenon in progressive India

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बिहार के चुनाव – परिणामों का आज असर सिर्फ बिहार तक सीमित नहीं है । परिणाम अखिल भारतीय राजनीति का आईना बन गए हैं । हर राजनीतिक दल उसमें अपना चेहरा देख रहा है । भाजपा का चेहरा तो चम चमा ही उठा है, लेकिन उसके प्रतिद्वंदी दल कांग्रेस के चेहरे पर तो धुंध ही छा गई है । बिहार में उसे 70 में से सिर्फ 19 सीटें मिली हैं, और वोट सिर्फ 9.48 प्रतिशत मिले हैं । इसके परिणाम दूरगामी होंगे, इसमें कोई शक नहीं है । बिहार के साथ – साथ मध्यप्रदेश, उत्तरप्रदेश, गुजरात, कर्नाटक आदि राज्यों में जो उप – चुनाव हुए, उनमें तो कांग्रेस की हालत और भी बद से बदतर सिद्ध हुई है । कांग्रेस का भारत की राजनीति के पटल से महत्त्व खत्म हो रहा है । वह दिन दूर नहीं जब भारत एक जहरीले सांप से हमेशा मुक्त होगा ।

The ground level situation during election was that Sonia Gandhi did not address any political rally in Bihar, nor any tweet except her usual and constant rhetoric talk of ‘lok tantra khatre mein hein’ and ‘sabhi sansathaon ka rajnitikaran ho raha hein’ or ‘Desh mein fascist takatein majboot ho rahi hein’, without any internal assessment of the ground realities. Congress is being rejected completely. There was no tweet from ‘tweetP’ on Bihar nor any appeal by her to vote for Congress, even in the Hathras region bypoll, where Congress party and a handful of ‘paid’ journalists made such a hue and cry of the situation. Loud voices are now emanating from G-23 letter writers and Mr. Silbil akka Mr. Kapil Sibbal that Congress is not fulfilling the aspiration of the people. Congress lost all eight seats it contested in UP and lost deposit of its candidates, a shame since Congress created such ruckus and drama during the Hathras killing.

RJD leaders blamed Rahul for their defeat in the Bihar polls with dismal performance. They felt and rightly so that agreeing to barter 70 seats for Congress was a great overestimation. Had they fought the election alone, they might have crossed 125 seats single handedly with linear hit rate extrapolated. There is a great aversion to the Congress candidates all over the nation. Rahul baba just came for 3 days and addressed 7 rallies out of 70 contested and pulled down the government formation of RJD. He was picnicking in his sister’s palatial illegal Bungalow in Himachal Pradesh, when the results came, but congress panelists defended his actions. It may have been noted that no leader worth its name went to address any rallies in Bihar. The party does not have any star vote catchers. Rumours are already floating that congress MLAs will be split between BJP and JD (U) forever.

लगभग सभी राज्यों में नेता लोग कांग्रेस को छोड़ – छोड़कर भाजपा आदि दलों में जा रहे हैं । इसी कारण देश के कई छोटे राज्यों में कांग्रेस की सरकारें नहीं बन सकीं । जो नेता कांग्रेस में अभी तक बने हुए हैं, यह उनकी मजबूरी है । कांग्रेस के 23 नेताओं ने अपनी पार्टी की इस दुर्दशा पर एक पत्र लिखकर कांग्रेस की कार्यवाहक अध्यक्ष सोनिया गांधी का ध्यान भी खींचा है । उस पत्र का जवाब तो उन्हें अभी तक नहीं मिला है, लेकिन उनमें से कुछ नेताओं को अपदस्थ कर दिया गया है । बिहार तथा अन्य राज्यों में हार के सवाल को कुछ नेताओं ने फिर उठाया है, लेकिन पार्टी नेतृत्व ऐसे नाजुक मुद्दों पर सार्वजनिक बहस की इजाजत नहीं देता है । 

The Rajasthan Congress CM Jadugar Gehlot criticised Sibal for asking very critical but relevant pointed questions. Chidambaram son Karti also questioned the party leadership. The Congress is not living up to the aspiration of the general public. Congress must make its stand clear that it is pro Hindu or pro Dalit or pro poor or pro muslim or pro everything party and this reduces the Congress candidates as non-serious, ‘also ran’ candidates who are willing to lose deposits and invite their leaders for ‘election tourism’ but Pappu entertain his audience with ‘aaloo se sona’ dialogues which the rally watchers laugh and get entertained.

ऐसे मुद्दों पर सार्वजनिक बहस हो या न हो, लेकिन अफसोस की बात है कि उन पर पार्टी के अंदर भी खुलकर बहस नहीं होती, लेकिन कांग्रेस के कई वरिष्ठ नेता और सामान्य कार्यकर्ता निजी बातचीत में अपनी निराशा, व्यथा और किंकर्तव्यविमूढ़ता प्रकट करने में कोई संकोच नहीं करते ।

कांग्रेस की हालत आज एक प्राइवेट लिमिटेड कंपनी – जैसी हो गई है । इसका बुरा असर देश की लगभग सभी प्रांतीय पार्टियों पर भी पड़ गया है । यदि कांग्रेस मां, बेटा, बेटी दामाद पार्टी बन गई है, तो कई पार्टियां बाप – बेटा पार्टी, चाचा – भतीजा पार्टी, भाई – भाई पार्टी, बुआ – भतीजा पार्टी, पति – पत्नी पार्टी, ससुर – दामाद पार्टी आदि बनकर रह गई हैं । पार्टियों की कार्यसमिति के सदस्य भी नहीं चुने जाते । वे भी नामजद कर दिए जाते हैं । प्रांतीय अधिकारी भी इसी तरह ऊपर से थोप दिए जाते हैं । जब तक पार्टियों में आतंरिक लोक तंत्र नहीं होगा, देश में नाम मात्र का ही लोकतंत्र चलता रहेगा । पार्टियों के नेता और हमारी सरकारें भी अक्सर बदलती रहें, तो उनके सेहत ठीक रहती है। वे पापड़ की तरह होते हैं । उन्हें जल्दी – जल्दी न पलटें तो उनके जलने का डर बना रहता है। 

बराक ओबामा ने अपने संस्मरणों में जो लिखा है, उससे क्या सबक निकलता है? उन्होंने कहा है कि सोनिया गांधी ने डॉ. मनमोहन सिंह को प्रधान मंत्री इसीलिए बनाया कि उनसे राहुल गांधी को कोई खतरा नहीं था । दूसरे शब्दों में हमारी राजनीति राष्ट्र हित से ज्यादा व्यक्ति गत या पारिवारिक हित से प्रेरित होती है । यह परिदृश्य देश की लगभग सभी पार्टियों में देखा जा सकता है । पार्टियों के अध्यक्ष ऐसे लोगों को बनाया जाता है, जो बड़े नेताओं के इशारों पर थिरकते रहें ।

The much publicised Paragraph on Sonia & Rahul from Barack Obama’s book reproduced below:-👇👇

It is worth reading and pondering. Both Sonia and Rahul Gandhi sat at our dinner table that night. She was a striking woman in her sixties, dressed in a traditional sari, with dark, probing eyes and a quiet, regal presence. That she a former stay – at – home mother of European descent had emerged from her grief after her husband was killed by a Sri Lankan separatist’s suicide bomb in the year 1991 to become a leading national politician testified to the enduring power of the family dynasty. Rajiv was the grandson of Jawaharlal Nehru, India’s first prime minister and an icon in the independence movement. His mother, Nehru’s daughter, Indira Gandhi, had spent a total of sixteen years as prime minister herself, relying on a more ruthless brand of politics than her father had practiced, until 1984 when she, too, was assassinated.

At dinner that night, Sonia Gandhi listened more than she spoke, careful to refer to PM Singh when policy matters came up, and often steered the conversation toward her son. It became clear to me, though, that her power was attributable to a shrewd and forceful intelligence. As for Rahul, he seemed smart and earnest, his good looks resembling his mother’s. He offered up his thoughts on the future of progressive politics, occasionally pausing to probe me on the details of my 2008 campaign. But there was a nervous, unformed quality about him, as if he were a student who’d done the coursework and was eager to impress the teacher but deep down lacked either the aptitude or the passion to master the subject.

As it was getting late, I noticed Singh fighting off sleep, lifting his glass every so often to wake himself up with a sip of water. I signaled to Michelle that it was time to say our goodbyes. The prime minister and his wife walked us to our car. In the dim light, he looked frail, older than his seventy – eight years, and as we drove off I wondered what would happen when he left office. Would the baton be successfully passed to Rahul, fulfilling the destiny laid out by his mother and preserving the Congress Party’s dominance over the divisive nationalism touted by the BJP? Somehow, I was doubtful. It wasn’t Singh’s fault. He had done his part, following the playbook of liberal democracies across the post–Cold War world: upholding the constitutional order; attending to the quotidian, often technical work of boosting the GDP; and expanding the social safety net. Like me, he had come to believe that this was all any of us could expect from democracy, especially in big, multiethnic, multireligious societies like India and the United States. Not revolutionary leaps or major cultural overhauls; not a fix for every social pathology or lasting answers for those in search of purpose and meaning in their lives. Just the observance of rules that allowed us to sort out or at least tolerate our differences, and government policies that raised living standards and improved education enough to temper humanity’s baser impulses.

The cat jumped out from the bag and congress foot soldiers are busy defending the indefensible with their spin doctors working overtime but thoroughly unsuccessfully.

I foresee some changes in the near future in the Indian political landscape in the next 2 years.

The political weight of the Congress will go down further and further. There seats in the Rajya Sabha plummeting low;

The regional parties will not make any alliance with the Congress anymore and will keep it at bay till they have a new leadership at its helm. The great people of Andhra Pradesh will never elect Congress again at the state level nor will they elect any MP for the Lok Sabha in any future polls. They have not forgotten nor will they easily forget the way in which bill for the division was passed among all the ruckus with doors closed and live coverage block.

The Maharashtra state Government is on its last leg of survival. Just a day back was the anniversary of its legendary founder late Bala Sahebji, who is considered an ideologue of the party and his word was a writ in the state of Maharashtra. There was no tweet or any message to remember him by the Congress, as compared to Uddhav Thakrey, visit to greet both Indira and Rajiv on their anniversaries. Such lapses are intentional and the government may fall sooner than later.

All India Majlis-E-Ittehadul Muslimeen (AIMIM) won 5 seats and their vote share ranged between 38.17 to 52 percent and won 1.27% of the total votes polled and this has caught the attention of the mainstream and muslim loving parties and they will change the political fortunes of all parties except BJP. This will force the parties to align and voting pattern will change according to religion in seats where Aimim will field its candidates. Nobody has expected it to win 5 seats in their 1st election and it was touted a vote ‘katua’ party by the centrist parties.

May the nationalist forces win and take the country forward as soon the BJP will have majority in both the houses in bicameral houses of the nation.

Rajiv Saxena
Rajiv Saxena
Rajiv Prakash Saxena is a graduate of UBC, Vancouver, Canada. He is an authority on eCommerce, eProcurement, eSign, DSCs and Internet Security. He has been a Technology Bureaucrat and Thought leader in the Government. He has 8 books and few UN assignments. He wrote IT Policies of Colombia and has implemented projects in Jordan, Rwanda, Nepal and Mauritius. Rajiv writes, speaks, mentors on technology issues in Express Computers, ET, National frontier and TV debates. He worked and guided the following divisions: Computer Aided Design (CAD), UP: MP: Maharashtra and Haryana State Coordinator to setup NICNET in their respective Districts of the State, TradeNIC, wherein a CD containing list of 1,00,000 exporters was cut with a search engine and distributed to all Indian Embassies and High Commissions way back in the year 1997 (It was an initiative between NIC and MEA Trade Division headed by Ms. Sujatha Singh, IFS, India’s Ex Foreign Secretary), Law Commission, Ministry of Law & Justice, Department of Legal Affairs, Department of Justice, Ministry of Urban Development (MoUD), Ministry of Housing & Urban Poverty Alleviation (MoHUPA), National Jail Project, National Human Rights Commission (NHRC), National Commission for Minorities (NCM), National Data Centres (NDC), NIC National Infrastructure, Certifying Authority (CA) to issue Digital Signature Certificates (DSCs), eProcurement, Ministry of Parliamentary Affairs (MPA), Lok Sabha and its Secretariat (LSS) and Rajya Sabha and its Secretariat (RSS) along with their subordinate and attached offices like Directorate of Estate (DoE), Land & Development Office (L&DO), National Building Construction Corporation (NBCC), Central Public Works Department (CPWD), National Capital Regional Planning Board (NCRPB), Housing & Urban Development Corporation (HUDO), National Building Organisation (NBO), Delhi Development Authority (DDA), BMPTC and many others.

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